Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.442365 0.519007 0.602950 0.701444 0.813562 0.936926 1.082638
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.320721 0.421713 0.543183 0.698845 0.891698 1.121372 1.414029
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.234145 0.340812 0.480095 0.672567 0.928487 1.253576 1.693665
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.192025 0.304898 0.462865 0.695180 1.022240 1.459502 2.080065
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.159884 0.274761 0.445860 0.711687 1.104912 1.654077 2.465028
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.141865 0.261309 0.449078 0.754788 1.226213 1.908838 2.950227
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.118014 0.233340 0.424796 0.751380 1.275977 2.062718 3.301058
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.097797 0.207232 0.398738 0.740234 1.310236 2.193395 3.624071
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.082161 0.186085 0.377295 0.732751 1.347516 2.328915 3.960838
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.072409 0.174200 0.370095 0.747934 1.422063 2.526482 4.404755
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063503 0.162175 0.360620 0.757290 1.486442 2.710787 4.837699
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.055147 0.149564 0.347977 0.758784 1.536221 2.873126 5.243457
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048643 0.140035 0.340554 0.770154 1.606228 3.077026 5.735690
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.042157 0.129147 0.328688 0.771348 1.657532 3.252406 6.191431
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034607 0.113728 0.304461 0.744155 1.651993 3.326655 6.477365
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031613 0.109699 0.305246 0.769376 1.750153 3.592979 7.113804
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028546 0.104727 0.303009 0.787597 1.835523 3.840697 7.730117
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027325 0.104920 0.313304 0.834711 1.983240 4.212924 8.589891
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023759 0.096978 0.301967 0.831022 2.024839 4.386422 9.094678
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020337 0.088516 0.287824 0.818870 2.046991 4.523122 9.537392
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017560 0.081400 0.276023 0.810708 2.076541 4.675127 10.015314
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.015972 0.078106 0.274321 0.827278 2.161926 4.942616 10.726118
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.014359 0.074236 0.270321 0.837487 2.233571 5.186066 11.401616